Lecture Notes

LEC # TOPICS
1 Introduction (PDF)
2 Decision Analysis I - Kendall Crab and Lobster Case (PDF)
3 Laws of Probability (PDF)
4 Decision Analysis II - Graphic Corp. Case
5 Value (PDF)
6 Discrete Probability (PDF)
7 Binomial Distribution (PDF)
8 Portfolio Risk Management (PDF)
9 Normal Distribution (PDF)
10 Central Limit Theorem (PDF)
11 Sampling and Sample Means (PDF)
12 Simulation (PDF)
13 Gentle Lentil Case
14 Estimation and Mis-estimation (PDF)
15 Ontario Gateway Case
16 Regression I (PDF)
17 Regression II
18 Regression III
19 Communication Exercise
20 Summary (PDF)
21 Final Exam